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Florida State University 
Department of Urban and Regional Planning
Forecasting for Plan Development





 

Planning Exercises Page

Assignment #3 and #4 Answers

Link to Page with Answers to Assignment #3 and #4

 

Individual and Small Group Exercises

Assignment #1 County Profile
You are a staff planner for
Bay County. The County Council has recently asked the planning department to prepare a demographic and socioeconomic profile of the county that includes data from the recently completed 2000 Census.

Assignment #2 Extrapolation Exercise
You are a planner for Florida’s Great Northwest, Inc. an economic development organization set up to promote development in the Florida Panhandle. You have been tasked by the FGN Board to develop population projections for several of the counties in the region (
Bay County, Calhoun County, Gulf County, Walton County, and Washington County). Because they need these results very quickly, you have chosen to utilize the extrapolation technique to develop these county population projections.

            “A” Level Response Example

·         Example #1 (PDF file)

·         Example #2 (PDF file)

Assignment #3 Applying the Cohort Component Model to Bay County
You have been asked to prepare a set of population projections through 2030 for Bay County, Florida, using the cohort component technique. These population projections require five year age-sex-race cohort population data from 1990, 1995, and 2000 as initial inputs to the analysis. You will be generating projections for four subgroups of the population for 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2020: 1) White Males, 2) White Females, 3) Non-White Males, 4) Non-White Females.

Assignment #4 Economic Base Analysis for Bay County
You have been asked to complete an analysis of
Bay County’s economic base. Using data produced by the United States Census Bureau as part of the County Business Patterns series, you will calculate the following values for Bay County:

1)      The number of basic sector jobs in Bay County

2)      The number of non-basic sector jobs in Bay County

3)      A base multiplier for Bay County

 

To complete this analysis you will need the following data:

  1)       Bay County County Business Patterns Data for 2000 (Excel)

            State of Florida County Business Patterns Data for 2000 (Excel)

            United States County Business Patterns Data for 2000 (Excel)

                        All of this data can be found in this Excel file

 

  2)       Data on per capita income and population for Bay County and the
            United States. This can be found at the State and County Quickfacts
            page.

 

 

Data for the Economic Base Section of the Group Report

On this page you will find the data required for most of the work to be completed in the economic base portion of the Group project.

Excel Spreadsheet Models

Excel Models Page
You will find downloadable Excel models for several of the projection methods discussed in this class at this page.

Franklin County Report Documents

1) Franklin County Forecast Final Report (PDF)

2) Franklin County Forecast Technical Appendix (PDF)