Berry, William, Evan Ringquist, Richard Fording and Russell Hanson. “Measuring Citizen and Government Ideology in the American States, 1960-1993.” American Journal of Political Science, 42 (January 1998): 327-48.
We construct dynamic measures of
the ideology of a state's citizens and political leaders, using the roll call
voting scores of state congressional delegations, the outcomes of congressional
elections, the partisan division of state legislatures, the party of the governor,
and various assumptions regarding voters and state political elites. We establish
the utility of our indicators for 1960-93 by (i) examining and, whenever possible,
testing the assumptions on which they are based, (ii) assessing their reliability,
(iii) assessing their convergent validity by correlating them with other ideology
indicators, and (iv) appraising their construct validity by analyzing their
predictive power within multivariate models from some of the best recent research
in the state politics field. Strongly supportive results from each battery of
tests indicate the validity of our annual, state-level measures of citizen and
government ideology. Substantively, our measures reveal more temporal variation
in state citizen ideology than is generally recognized.